Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, either way?) is independent from winning or losing on any other scratch ticket, you treat each event as an unbiased event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent situation. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Beat the possibilities of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets consecutively (if it is precisely what your is actually asking) end up being (2/3)^30 = approximately 0.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 coming from 10 million, which depends upon 1 chance out of 192,307.
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